Recent Met Office guidance and GFS ensemble runs indicate a high near 23–24 °C for London on 13 September under a mild southwesterly flow ahead of an Atlantic front, with daytime maxima forecast at 24 °C after early rain clears. This places the market’s leading 23 °C outcome (38 % implied probability) in line with the tight cluster of guidance, while 22 °C (24.5 %) and 24 °C (20 %) capture plausible model spread from modest timing or cloud-cover differences. Historical climatology for the date averages 20.4 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth that has stabilized probabilities around these three bins; further model updates tonight or tomorrow morning will determine whether the highest reading edges toward 24 °C or settles at 22–23 °C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 13 сентября?
23°C 38%
22°C 26%
24°C 18%
21°C 11.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
11%
22°C
26%
23°C
38%
24°C
18%
25°C
6%
26°C или выше
<1%
23°C 38%
22°C 26%
24°C 18%
21°C 11.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$133 Объем
<1%
17°C
$392 Объем
<1%
18°C
$184 Объем
<1%
19°C
$147 Объем
1%
20°C
$228 Объем
2%
21°C
$739 Объем
11%
22°C
$875 Объем
26%
23°C
$3,153 Объем
38%
24°C
$1,547 Объем
18%
25°C
$661 Объем
6%
26°C или выше
$512 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and GFS ensemble runs indicate a high near 23–24 °C for London on 13 September under a mild southwesterly flow ahead of an Atlantic front, with daytime maxima forecast at 24 °C after early rain clears. This places the market’s leading 23 °C outcome (38 % implied probability) in line with the tight cluster of guidance, while 22 °C (24.5 %) and 24 °C (20 %) capture plausible model spread from modest timing or cloud-cover differences. Historical climatology for the date averages 20.4 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth that has stabilized probabilities around these three bins; further model updates tonight or tomorrow morning will determine whether the highest reading edges toward 24 °C or settles at 22–23 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$8,571Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and GFS ensemble runs indicate a high near 23–24 °C for London on 13 September under a mild southwesterly flow ahead of an Atlantic front, with daytime maxima forecast at 24 °C after early rain clears. This places the market’s leading 23 °C outcome (38 % implied probability) in line with the tight cluster of guidance, while 22 °C (24.5 %) and 24 °C (20 %) capture plausible model spread from modest timing or cloud-cover differences. Historical climatology for the date averages 20.4 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth that has stabilized probabilities around these three bins; further model updates tonight or tomorrow morning will determine whether the highest reading edges toward 24 °C or settles at 22–23 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,571Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and GFS ensemble runs indicate a high near 23–24 °C for London on 13 September under a mild southwesterly flow ahead of an Atlantic front, with daytime maxima forecast at 24 °C after early rain clears. This places the market’s leading 23 °C outcome (38 % implied probability) in line with the tight cluster of guidance, while 22 °C (24.5 %) and 24 °C (20 %) capture plausible model spread from modest timing or cloud-cover differences. Historical climatology for the date averages 20.4 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth that has stabilized probabilities around these three bins; further model updates tonight or tomorrow morning will determine whether the highest reading edges toward 24 °C or settles at 22–23 °C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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