**Trader consensus for a 32°C high in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, aligns with operational forecasts showing a daily maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 32.3°C.** Current observations indicate mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and dew points supporting temperatures in the low 30s°C, with models such as ECMWF and GFS maintaining this range through afternoon peak heating. This positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical for a date when steering patterns and moisture limit extreme departures. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require either stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or rapid clearing that allows additional insolation, though ensemble guidance shows low probability for such changes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 12 сентября?
32°C 100.0%
27°C или ниже <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$34,944 Объем
$34,944 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
32°C 100.0%
27°C или ниже <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$34,944 Объем
$34,944 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$189 Объем
<1%
28°C
$153 Объем
<1%
29°C
$1,400 Объем
<1%
30°C
$937 Объем
<1%
31°C
$1,985 Объем
<1%
32°C
$9,366 Объем
100%
33°C
$6,105 Объем
<1%
34°C
$5,057 Объем
<1%
35°C
$9,096 Объем
<1%
36°C
$329 Объем
<1%
37°C или выше
$327 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for a 32°C high in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, aligns with operational forecasts showing a daily maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 32.3°C.** Current observations indicate mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and dew points supporting temperatures in the low 30s°C, with models such as ECMWF and GFS maintaining this range through afternoon peak heating. This positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical for a date when steering patterns and moisture limit extreme departures. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require either stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or rapid clearing that allows additional insolation, though ensemble guidance shows low probability for such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$34,944Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for a 32°C high in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, aligns with operational forecasts showing a daily maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 32.3°C.** Current observations indicate mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and dew points supporting temperatures in the low 30s°C, with models such as ECMWF and GFS maintaining this range through afternoon peak heating. This positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical for a date when steering patterns and moisture limit extreme departures. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require either stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or rapid clearing that allows additional insolation, though ensemble guidance shows low probability for such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$34,944Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for a 32°C high in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, aligns with operational forecasts showing a daily maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 32.3°C.** Current observations indicate mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and dew points supporting temperatures in the low 30s°C, with models such as ECMWF and GFS maintaining this range through afternoon peak heating. This positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical for a date when steering patterns and moisture limit extreme departures. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require either stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or rapid clearing that allows additional insolation, though ensemble guidance shows low probability for such changes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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