Recent forecasts indicate persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chengdu on September 10 will suppress daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature near 20–24°C. A cold front and northerly flow have already driven a sharp drop from earlier highs above 33°C, with models showing continued moisture and limited solar radiation as key constraints. Hourly guidance points to peaks around midday or afternoon, but varying rain timing and intensity introduce uncertainty across ensembles. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 22°C and 23°C, reflecting consensus on moderate cooling without extreme suppression or clearing. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.