**Trader consensus on the Buenos Aires highest-temperature market for September 8 centers on 17–19°C, with 18°C holding the strongest implied probability at 52.5%.** This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from multiple models showing a high near 14–17°C under stable high-pressure conditions (around 1020 hPa) and northerly flow. Clear to mostly clear skies are expected to allow sufficient solar heating during the afternoon peak, while moderate northerly winds (roughly 5–8 m/s) advect milder air without significant mixing or cloud build-up. Recent observations show cooler conditions on September 6–7 (daily maxima 11–13°C), but the pattern is shifting as high pressure builds and winds turn northerly, supporting a modest warming trend typical for early spring in the region. Historical September averages for Buenos Aires highs sit near 18–19°C, providing context for why markets favor outcomes slightly above the immediate forecast guidance. Model runs remain broadly aligned with low precipitation risk and limited variability, though minor adjustments in cloud cover or wind timing could influence the exact peak. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 8 сентября?
18°C 53%
19°C 23%
17°C 13%
16°C 5%
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
53%
19°C
23%
20°C
4%
21°C или выше
3%
18°C 53%
19°C 23%
17°C 13%
16°C 5%
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
53%
19°C
23%
20°C
4%
21°C или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Buenos Aires highest-temperature market for September 8 centers on 17–19°C, with 18°C holding the strongest implied probability at 52.5%.** This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from multiple models showing a high near 14–17°C under stable high-pressure conditions (around 1020 hPa) and northerly flow. Clear to mostly clear skies are expected to allow sufficient solar heating during the afternoon peak, while moderate northerly winds (roughly 5–8 m/s) advect milder air without significant mixing or cloud build-up. Recent observations show cooler conditions on September 6–7 (daily maxima 11–13°C), but the pattern is shifting as high pressure builds and winds turn northerly, supporting a modest warming trend typical for early spring in the region. Historical September averages for Buenos Aires highs sit near 18–19°C, providing context for why markets favor outcomes slightly above the immediate forecast guidance. Model runs remain broadly aligned with low precipitation risk and limited variability, though minor adjustments in cloud cover or wind timing could influence the exact peak. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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