Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains is driving clear skies, strong daytime heating, and south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph across North Texas, positioning Dallas for an upper-90s to low-100s high on September 6. Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance converge on 98–100 °F, consistent with recent observed highs of 94–100 °F earlier in the week and well above the 1991–2020 September 6 average of 92.5 °F. Low dew points relative to peak heat support minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, while heat-index values near 105 °F underscore the thermal setup. With only 48 hours until resolution and stable model consensus, trader-implied odds favor the 98–99 °F bin as the most probable outcome under current atmospheric conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 6 сентября?
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 23%
102-103°F 22%
96-97°F 20%
87°F или ниже
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
23%
102-103°F
22%
104-105°F
7%
106°F или выше
7%
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 23%
102-103°F 22%
96-97°F 20%
87°F или ниже
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
23%
102-103°F
22%
104-105°F
7%
106°F или выше
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains is driving clear skies, strong daytime heating, and south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph across North Texas, positioning Dallas for an upper-90s to low-100s high on September 6. Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance converge on 98–100 °F, consistent with recent observed highs of 94–100 °F earlier in the week and well above the 1991–2020 September 6 average of 92.5 °F. Low dew points relative to peak heat support minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, while heat-index values near 105 °F underscore the thermal setup. With only 48 hours until resolution and stable model consensus, trader-implied odds favor the 98–99 °F bin as the most probable outcome under current atmospheric conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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