**Tropical Cyclone Saudel’s lingering influence over the northern South China Sea, combined with northeast monsoon flow, is the dominant driver keeping trader consensus tightly split between 28°C and 29°C for Hong Kong’s September 4 maximum.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a daily range of 25–29°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few squally showers and northwest winds of 4–5, occasionally stronger offshore. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit daytime heating, while elevated humidity and moderate winds suppress peak temperatures below seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts show only modest model spread around these values, with resolution hinging on the cyclone’s exact track and intensity changes expected in the next 48 hours. Updated HKO briefings and high-resolution model runs will likely refine the outcome before market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?
29°C 33%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
27°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
10%
28°C
31%
29°C
33%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C или выше
1%
29°C 33%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
27°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$8,930 Объем
<1%
24°C
$0 Объем
2%
25°C
$128 Объем
<1%
26°C
$205 Объем
5%
27°C
$30 Объем
10%
28°C
$167 Объем
31%
29°C
$91 Объем
33%
30°C
$117 Объем
15%
31°C
$5 Объем
5%
32°C
$30 Объем
2%
33°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Tropical Cyclone Saudel’s lingering influence over the northern South China Sea, combined with northeast monsoon flow, is the dominant driver keeping trader consensus tightly split between 28°C and 29°C for Hong Kong’s September 4 maximum.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a daily range of 25–29°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few squally showers and northwest winds of 4–5, occasionally stronger offshore. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit daytime heating, while elevated humidity and moderate winds suppress peak temperatures below seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts show only modest model spread around these values, with resolution hinging on the cyclone’s exact track and intensity changes expected in the next 48 hours. Updated HKO briefings and high-resolution model runs will likely refine the outcome before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$9,661Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Tropical Cyclone Saudel’s lingering influence over the northern South China Sea, combined with northeast monsoon flow, is the dominant driver keeping trader consensus tightly split between 28°C and 29°C for Hong Kong’s September 4 maximum.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a daily range of 25–29°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few squally showers and northwest winds of 4–5, occasionally stronger offshore. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit daytime heating, while elevated humidity and moderate winds suppress peak temperatures below seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts show only modest model spread around these values, with resolution hinging on the cyclone’s exact track and intensity changes expected in the next 48 hours. Updated HKO briefings and high-resolution model runs will likely refine the outcome before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$9,661Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Tropical Cyclone Saudel’s lingering influence over the northern South China Sea, combined with northeast monsoon flow, is the dominant driver keeping trader consensus tightly split between 28°C and 29°C for Hong Kong’s September 4 maximum.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a daily range of 25–29°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few squally showers and northwest winds of 4–5, occasionally stronger offshore. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit daytime heating, while elevated humidity and moderate winds suppress peak temperatures below seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts show only modest model spread around these values, with resolution hinging on the cyclone’s exact track and intensity changes expected in the next 48 hours. Updated HKO briefings and high-resolution model runs will likely refine the outcome before market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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