Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare indicate a high near 87–88°F on September 4, driven by easterly flow off Lake Michigan that limits afternoon heating while increasing cloud cover and a 50% chance of morning showers and thunderstorms. This pattern follows a brief heat surge with 92–94°F readings on September 2–3 and favors upper-80s readings over the historical 80.1°F average. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty around exact cloud timing and lake-breeze strength, which can cap peaks near 85°F or allow brief pushes into the low 90s if clearing occurs earlier. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 86–89°F, reflecting these near-term atmospheric steering and moisture factors ahead of final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 4 сентября?
88-89°F 24%
86-87°F 23%
90-91°F 17%
84-85°F 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
6%
98°F или выше
2%
88-89°F 24%
86-87°F 23%
90-91°F 17%
84-85°F 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
80-81°F
$7 Объем
3%
82-83°F
$53 Объем
6%
84-85°F
$111 Объем
15%
86-87°F
$87 Объем
23%
88-89°F
$272 Объем
24%
90-91°F
$338 Объем
17%
92-93°F
$80 Объем
10%
94-95°F
$79 Объем
3%
96-97°F
$0 Объем
6%
98°F или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare indicate a high near 87–88°F on September 4, driven by easterly flow off Lake Michigan that limits afternoon heating while increasing cloud cover and a 50% chance of morning showers and thunderstorms. This pattern follows a brief heat surge with 92–94°F readings on September 2–3 and favors upper-80s readings over the historical 80.1°F average. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty around exact cloud timing and lake-breeze strength, which can cap peaks near 85°F or allow brief pushes into the low 90s if clearing occurs earlier. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 86–89°F, reflecting these near-term atmospheric steering and moisture factors ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,028Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare indicate a high near 87–88°F on September 4, driven by easterly flow off Lake Michigan that limits afternoon heating while increasing cloud cover and a 50% chance of morning showers and thunderstorms. This pattern follows a brief heat surge with 92–94°F readings on September 2–3 and favors upper-80s readings over the historical 80.1°F average. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty around exact cloud timing and lake-breeze strength, which can cap peaks near 85°F or allow brief pushes into the low 90s if clearing occurs earlier. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 86–89°F, reflecting these near-term atmospheric steering and moisture factors ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,028Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare indicate a high near 87–88°F on September 4, driven by easterly flow off Lake Michigan that limits afternoon heating while increasing cloud cover and a 50% chance of morning showers and thunderstorms. This pattern follows a brief heat surge with 92–94°F readings on September 2–3 and favors upper-80s readings over the historical 80.1°F average. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty around exact cloud timing and lake-breeze strength, which can cap peaks near 85°F or allow brief pushes into the low 90s if clearing occurs earlier. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 86–89°F, reflecting these near-term atmospheric steering and moisture factors ahead of final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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