Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies converge on a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C for London on 2 September, with southwesterly flow advecting mild, humid Atlantic air under persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup favors the market’s leading 22 °C (36.5 %) and 21 °C (33 %) outcomes, as extensive low- and mid-level cloud reduces the diurnal temperature range while light drizzle risk in some runs caps peaks near the seasonal average of 21.6 °C. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between 20–23 °C probabilities; warmer outliers would require unexpected clearing or stronger southerly advection. Updated guidance ahead of the 2 September peak-heating window remains the key variable for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 2 сентября?
22°C 37%
21°C 34%
20°C 18%
23°C 12%
НОВОЕ
$13,965 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,965 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
18%
21°C
34%
22°C
37%
23°C
12%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 37%
21°C 34%
20°C 18%
23°C 12%
НОВОЕ
$13,965 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,965 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$1,760 Объем
<1%
18°C
$750 Объем
<1%
19°C
$461 Объем
2%
20°C
$1,809 Объем
18%
21°C
$1,885 Объем
34%
22°C
$2,887 Объем
37%
23°C
$1,595 Объем
12%
24°C
$1,071 Объем
2%
25°C
$1,123 Объем
<1%
26°C
$379 Объем
<1%
27°C or higher
$245 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies converge on a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C for London on 2 September, with southwesterly flow advecting mild, humid Atlantic air under persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup favors the market’s leading 22 °C (36.5 %) and 21 °C (33 %) outcomes, as extensive low- and mid-level cloud reduces the diurnal temperature range while light drizzle risk in some runs caps peaks near the seasonal average of 21.6 °C. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between 20–23 °C probabilities; warmer outliers would require unexpected clearing or stronger southerly advection. Updated guidance ahead of the 2 September peak-heating window remains the key variable for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$13,965Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies converge on a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C for London on 2 September, with southwesterly flow advecting mild, humid Atlantic air under persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup favors the market’s leading 22 °C (36.5 %) and 21 °C (33 %) outcomes, as extensive low- and mid-level cloud reduces the diurnal temperature range while light drizzle risk in some runs caps peaks near the seasonal average of 21.6 °C. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between 20–23 °C probabilities; warmer outliers would require unexpected clearing or stronger southerly advection. Updated guidance ahead of the 2 September peak-heating window remains the key variable for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,965Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies converge on a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C for London on 2 September, with southwesterly flow advecting mild, humid Atlantic air under persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup favors the market’s leading 22 °C (36.5 %) and 21 °C (33 %) outcomes, as extensive low- and mid-level cloud reduces the diurnal temperature range while light drizzle risk in some runs caps peaks near the seasonal average of 21.6 °C. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between 20–23 °C probabilities; warmer outliers would require unexpected clearing or stronger southerly advection. Updated guidance ahead of the 2 September peak-heating window remains the key variable for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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