Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates clear, sunny skies and light northeast winds for Qingdao on September 3, supporting radiative daytime heating that favors a daily maximum near 29–31°C. This stable anticyclonic pattern, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability, has kept forecast highs steady over the past 48 hours, producing tightly matched market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and the timing of peak insolation introduce small uncertainties that differentiate these outcomes, while historical early-September averages near 26–28°C underscore the current warmer anomaly. Updated model runs and official station observations on September 2 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Циндао 3 сентября?
31°C 37%
30°C 34%
32°C 18%
29°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
34%
31°C
37%
32°C
18%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C или выше
<1%
31°C 37%
30°C 34%
32°C 18%
29°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$1 Объем
1%
26°C
$40 Объем
4%
27°C
$5 Объем
2%
28°C
$18 Объем
5%
29°C
$16 Объем
10%
30°C
$18 Объем
34%
31°C
$94 Объем
37%
32°C
$41 Объем
18%
33°C
$11 Объем
7%
34°C
$165 Объем
5%
35°C или выше
$56 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates clear, sunny skies and light northeast winds for Qingdao on September 3, supporting radiative daytime heating that favors a daily maximum near 29–31°C. This stable anticyclonic pattern, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability, has kept forecast highs steady over the past 48 hours, producing tightly matched market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and the timing of peak insolation introduce small uncertainties that differentiate these outcomes, while historical early-September averages near 26–28°C underscore the current warmer anomaly. Updated model runs and official station observations on September 2 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$465Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates clear, sunny skies and light northeast winds for Qingdao on September 3, supporting radiative daytime heating that favors a daily maximum near 29–31°C. This stable anticyclonic pattern, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability, has kept forecast highs steady over the past 48 hours, producing tightly matched market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and the timing of peak insolation introduce small uncertainties that differentiate these outcomes, while historical early-September averages near 26–28°C underscore the current warmer anomaly. Updated model runs and official station observations on September 2 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$465Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates clear, sunny skies and light northeast winds for Qingdao on September 3, supporting radiative daytime heating that favors a daily maximum near 29–31°C. This stable anticyclonic pattern, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability, has kept forecast highs steady over the past 48 hours, producing tightly matched market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and the timing of peak insolation introduce small uncertainties that differentiate these outcomes, while historical early-September averages near 26–28°C underscore the current warmer anomaly. Updated model runs and official station observations on September 2 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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