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icon for Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?

Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?

Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?

29°C 34%

30°C 28%

28°C 27%

27°C 5.1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$51,030 Объем

29°C 34%

30°C 28%

28°C 27%

27°C 5.1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$51,030 Объем

25°C or below

$5,312 Объем

<1%

26°C

$4,578 Объем

<1%

27°C

$3,198 Объем

5%

28°C

$9,473 Объем

27%

29°C

$8,841 Объем

34%

30°C

$8,567 Объем

28%

31°C

$7,212 Объем

5%

32°C

$1,707 Объем

2%

33°C

$1,332 Объем

<1%

34°C

$378 Объем

<1%

35°C or higher

$432 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate cloud cover, easterly flow, and widespread rain or thunderstorms will cap Shanghai’s September 2 maximum near 29–30 °C.** Multiple sources converge on a high of 28–30 °C (roughly 84–86 °F), with 65–90 % precipitation probability and totals of 7–11 mm expected during peak heating hours. High humidity (80–90 %) and reduced insolation from overcast skies suppress surface warming compared with the clearer, hotter conditions on September 1 (observed highs near 33 °C). Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to 28 °C or 31 °C+ scenarios. Official station readings tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$51,030
Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate cloud cover, easterly flow, and widespread rain or thunderstorms will cap Shanghai’s September 2 maximum near 29–30 °C.** Multiple sources converge on a high of 28–30 °C (roughly 84–86 °F), with 65–90 % precipitation probability and totals of 7–11 mm expected during peak heating hours. High humidity (80–90 %) and reduced insolation from overcast skies suppress surface warming compared with the clearer, hotter conditions on September 1 (observed highs near 33 °C). Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to 28 °C or 31 °C+ scenarios. Official station readings tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$51,030
Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «29°C» с 34%, за ним следует «30°C» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 34¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $51K с момента запуска рынка Aug 31, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?» — «29°C» с 34%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30°C» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.