**Forecast models indicate cloud cover, easterly flow, and widespread rain or thunderstorms will cap Shanghai’s September 2 maximum near 29–30 °C.** Multiple sources converge on a high of 28–30 °C (roughly 84–86 °F), with 65–90 % precipitation probability and totals of 7–11 mm expected during peak heating hours. High humidity (80–90 %) and reduced insolation from overcast skies suppress surface warming compared with the clearer, hotter conditions on September 1 (observed highs near 33 °C). Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to 28 °C or 31 °C+ scenarios. Official station readings tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?
29°C 34%
30°C 28%
28°C 27%
27°C 5.1%
$51,030 Объем
$51,030 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
34%
30°C
28%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 28%
28°C 27%
27°C 5.1%
$51,030 Объем
$51,030 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
34%
30°C
28%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate cloud cover, easterly flow, and widespread rain or thunderstorms will cap Shanghai’s September 2 maximum near 29–30 °C.** Multiple sources converge on a high of 28–30 °C (roughly 84–86 °F), with 65–90 % precipitation probability and totals of 7–11 mm expected during peak heating hours. High humidity (80–90 %) and reduced insolation from overcast skies suppress surface warming compared with the clearer, hotter conditions on September 1 (observed highs near 33 °C). Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to 28 °C or 31 °C+ scenarios. Official station readings tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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