Current National Weather Service and local forecasts for Denver on September 3 project a daily low in the low to mid-60s°F under mostly clear skies and weak winds, consistent with a warm, stable air mass and limited radiational cooling. This places the most likely outcome near historical norms for early September but above the 1991–2020 average low of 54°F. Trader positioning shows elevated implied probabilities on both sub-54°F and 72°F+ extremes, reflecting model uncertainty in overnight boundary-layer cooling rates, subtle wind shifts, and any late adjustments to high pressure strength. Ensemble spreads and recent runs highlight how calm conditions could enhance cooling toward the lower bins while any increase in mixing or cloud cover would favor milder readings. Updated model guidance and surface observations through September 2 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Денвере 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Денвере 3 сентября?
72°F или выше 77%
70-71°F 49%
53°F или ниже 40%
60-61°F 31%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
53°F или ниже
40%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
49%
72°F или выше
77%
72°F или выше 77%
70-71°F 49%
53°F или ниже 40%
60-61°F 31%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
53°F или ниже
$53 Объем
40%
54-55°F
$53 Объем
24%
56-57°F
$2 Объем
24%
58-59°F
$2 Объем
26%
60-61°F
$2 Объем
31%
62-63°F
$2 Объем
25%
64-65°F
$2 Объем
13%
66-67°F
$2 Объем
8%
68-69°F
$10 Объем
14%
70-71°F
$10 Объем
49%
72°F или выше
$12 Объем
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and local forecasts for Denver on September 3 project a daily low in the low to mid-60s°F under mostly clear skies and weak winds, consistent with a warm, stable air mass and limited radiational cooling. This places the most likely outcome near historical norms for early September but above the 1991–2020 average low of 54°F. Trader positioning shows elevated implied probabilities on both sub-54°F and 72°F+ extremes, reflecting model uncertainty in overnight boundary-layer cooling rates, subtle wind shifts, and any late adjustments to high pressure strength. Ensemble spreads and recent runs highlight how calm conditions could enhance cooling toward the lower bins while any increase in mixing or cloud cover would favor milder readings. Updated model guidance and surface observations through September 2 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$151Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and local forecasts for Denver on September 3 project a daily low in the low to mid-60s°F under mostly clear skies and weak winds, consistent with a warm, stable air mass and limited radiational cooling. This places the most likely outcome near historical norms for early September but above the 1991–2020 average low of 54°F. Trader positioning shows elevated implied probabilities on both sub-54°F and 72°F+ extremes, reflecting model uncertainty in overnight boundary-layer cooling rates, subtle wind shifts, and any late adjustments to high pressure strength. Ensemble spreads and recent runs highlight how calm conditions could enhance cooling toward the lower bins while any increase in mixing or cloud cover would favor milder readings. Updated model guidance and surface observations through September 2 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$151Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and local forecasts for Denver on September 3 project a daily low in the low to mid-60s°F under mostly clear skies and weak winds, consistent with a warm, stable air mass and limited radiational cooling. This places the most likely outcome near historical norms for early September but above the 1991–2020 average low of 54°F. Trader positioning shows elevated implied probabilities on both sub-54°F and 72°F+ extremes, reflecting model uncertainty in overnight boundary-layer cooling rates, subtle wind shifts, and any late adjustments to high pressure strength. Ensemble spreads and recent runs highlight how calm conditions could enhance cooling toward the lower bins while any increase in mixing or cloud cover would favor milder readings. Updated model guidance and surface observations through September 2 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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