Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate a September 1 high temperature in Paris near 23°C, with model runs clustering between 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This positioning reflects moderate 850 hPa temperatures and limited diurnal heating from persistent Atlantic air masses, rather than any building ridge or southerly advection that could push readings higher. Recent model updates show minimal shifts over the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored around these values while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges for a two-day horizon. Trader sentiment aligns closely with this consensus, favoring 23°C as the mode outcome ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 1 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 1 сентября?
23°C 42%
24°C 35%
22°C 15%
25°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
20°C or below
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
15%
23°C
42%
24°C
35%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 42%
24°C 35%
22°C 15%
25°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$81 Объем
5%
21°C
$0 Объем
5%
22°C
$58 Объем
15%
23°C
$227 Объем
42%
24°C
$557 Объем
35%
25°C
$32 Объем
9%
26°C
$5 Объем
2%
27°C
$0 Объем
<1%
28°C
$0 Объем
<1%
29°C
$0 Объем
<1%
30°C or higher
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate a September 1 high temperature in Paris near 23°C, with model runs clustering between 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This positioning reflects moderate 850 hPa temperatures and limited diurnal heating from persistent Atlantic air masses, rather than any building ridge or southerly advection that could push readings higher. Recent model updates show minimal shifts over the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored around these values while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges for a two-day horizon. Trader sentiment aligns closely with this consensus, favoring 23°C as the mode outcome ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$960Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate a September 1 high temperature in Paris near 23°C, with model runs clustering between 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This positioning reflects moderate 850 hPa temperatures and limited diurnal heating from persistent Atlantic air masses, rather than any building ridge or southerly advection that could push readings higher. Recent model updates show minimal shifts over the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored around these values while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges for a two-day horizon. Trader sentiment aligns closely with this consensus, favoring 23°C as the mode outcome ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$960Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate a September 1 high temperature in Paris near 23°C, with model runs clustering between 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This positioning reflects moderate 850 hPa temperatures and limited diurnal heating from persistent Atlantic air masses, rather than any building ridge or southerly advection that could push readings higher. Recent model updates show minimal shifts over the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored around these values while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges for a two-day horizon. Trader sentiment aligns closely with this consensus, favoring 23°C as the mode outcome ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы