The Hong Kong Observatory’s forecast for August 30 points to a maximum of 31 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by a persistent low-pressure trough over the South China Sea that increases cloud cover, raises humidity to 75–95 %, and limits surface heating. This setup favors the tightly bunched 30–31 °C outcomes now leading the market, as enhanced rainfall and evaporative cooling offset typical late-August insolation. A slight steering shift or reduced shower coverage could allow brief sunny intervals to push readings toward 32 °C, while heavier or more widespread convection would favor 29–30 °C. The next HKO update and regional model runs will clarify how the trough evolves ahead of the daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 30 августа?
31°C 30%
30°C 29%
32°C 16%
29°C 15%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
15%
30°C
29%
31°C
30%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 30%
30°C 29%
32°C 16%
29°C 15%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
15%
30°C
29%
31°C
30%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory’s forecast for August 30 points to a maximum of 31 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by a persistent low-pressure trough over the South China Sea that increases cloud cover, raises humidity to 75–95 %, and limits surface heating. This setup favors the tightly bunched 30–31 °C outcomes now leading the market, as enhanced rainfall and evaporative cooling offset typical late-August insolation. A slight steering shift or reduced shower coverage could allow brief sunny intervals to push readings toward 32 °C, while heavier or more widespread convection would favor 29–30 °C. The next HKO update and regional model runs will clarify how the trough evolves ahead of the daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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