Traders assign nearly equal weight to 27–29°C outcomes for Chengdu’s August 29 maximum because short-term ensemble forecasts show tight spreads around late-summer norms amid high uncertainty in daytime heating. The Sichuan Basin’s topography traps moist air from the East Asian monsoon, sustaining humidity above 70% that moderates temperature swings, while variable cloud cover and weak frontal boundaries can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places average highs near 28–29°C, yet recent observational trends and model disagreement on urban heat-island amplification versus nocturnal cooling create balanced probabilities. Updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite moisture profiles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 29 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 29 августа?
27°C 22%
28°C 21%
30°C 20%
29°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
13%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
20%
30°C
12%
31°C
10%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
27°C 22%
28°C 21%
30°C 20%
29°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$0 Объем
1%
25°C
$100 Объем
2%
26°C
$25 Объем
13%
27°C
$0 Объем
22%
28°C
$17 Объем
21%
29°C
$0 Объем
20%
30°C
$10 Объем
12%
31°C
$0 Объем
10%
32°C
$7 Объем
7%
33°C
$429 Объем
3%
34°C or higher
$310 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly equal weight to 27–29°C outcomes for Chengdu’s August 29 maximum because short-term ensemble forecasts show tight spreads around late-summer norms amid high uncertainty in daytime heating. The Sichuan Basin’s topography traps moist air from the East Asian monsoon, sustaining humidity above 70% that moderates temperature swings, while variable cloud cover and weak frontal boundaries can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places average highs near 28–29°C, yet recent observational trends and model disagreement on urban heat-island amplification versus nocturnal cooling create balanced probabilities. Updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite moisture profiles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$898Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly equal weight to 27–29°C outcomes for Chengdu’s August 29 maximum because short-term ensemble forecasts show tight spreads around late-summer norms amid high uncertainty in daytime heating. The Sichuan Basin’s topography traps moist air from the East Asian monsoon, sustaining humidity above 70% that moderates temperature swings, while variable cloud cover and weak frontal boundaries can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places average highs near 28–29°C, yet recent observational trends and model disagreement on urban heat-island amplification versus nocturnal cooling create balanced probabilities. Updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite moisture profiles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$898Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly equal weight to 27–29°C outcomes for Chengdu’s August 29 maximum because short-term ensemble forecasts show tight spreads around late-summer norms amid high uncertainty in daytime heating. The Sichuan Basin’s topography traps moist air from the East Asian monsoon, sustaining humidity above 70% that moderates temperature swings, while variable cloud cover and weak frontal boundaries can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places average highs near 28–29°C, yet recent observational trends and model disagreement on urban heat-island amplification versus nocturnal cooling create balanced probabilities. Updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite moisture profiles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten consensus before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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