Latest AEMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate a moderating high near 24–25°C on August 27, driven by a transition from persistent summer anticyclonic conditions to a more zonal Atlantic flow that increases cloud cover and reduces insolation. This limits surface heating compared with Madrid’s late-August climatological average of 31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around the daily maximum, though small differences in the timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 25°C because these align with the most recent deterministic runs and historical analogs for similar late-summer setups.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 27 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 27 августа?
24°C 30%
25°C 25%
23°C 21%
26°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
21%
24°C
30%
25°C
25%
26°C
14%
27°C
5%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
24°C 30%
25°C 25%
23°C 21%
26°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$87 Объем
4%
22°C
$50 Объем
4%
23°C
$440 Объем
21%
24°C
$197 Объем
30%
25°C
$359 Объем
25%
26°C
$214 Объем
14%
27°C
$0 Объем
5%
28°C
$0 Объем
4%
29°C
$0 Объем
4%
30°C
$0 Объем
2%
31°C or higher
$24 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate a moderating high near 24–25°C on August 27, driven by a transition from persistent summer anticyclonic conditions to a more zonal Atlantic flow that increases cloud cover and reduces insolation. This limits surface heating compared with Madrid’s late-August climatological average of 31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around the daily maximum, though small differences in the timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 25°C because these align with the most recent deterministic runs and historical analogs for similar late-summer setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$1,291Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate a moderating high near 24–25°C on August 27, driven by a transition from persistent summer anticyclonic conditions to a more zonal Atlantic flow that increases cloud cover and reduces insolation. This limits surface heating compared with Madrid’s late-August climatological average of 31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around the daily maximum, though small differences in the timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 25°C because these align with the most recent deterministic runs and historical analogs for similar late-summer setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,291Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate a moderating high near 24–25°C on August 27, driven by a transition from persistent summer anticyclonic conditions to a more zonal Atlantic flow that increases cloud cover and reduces insolation. This limits surface heating compared with Madrid’s late-August climatological average of 31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around the daily maximum, though small differences in the timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 25°C because these align with the most recent deterministic runs and historical analogs for similar late-summer setups.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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