Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project a daily high near 19°C for Moscow on August 27, 2026, with some runs clustering at 18°C amid a cooling synoptic pattern featuring northerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with late-August climatology averages of 20–22°C but sits at the lower end due to recent observed temperature drops and model consensus favoring suppressed daytime warming. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 17–19°C outcomes as a result, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of ensemble guidance and the narrow window before resolution. Historical analogs show similar late-month cooling episodes can shift highs by 2–4°C below baseline when Atlantic or Arctic air intrusions dominate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 27 августа?
18°C 42%
19°C 32%
17°C 23%
20°C 13%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
23%
18°C
42%
19°C
32%
20°C
13%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
18°C 42%
19°C 32%
17°C 23%
20°C 13%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
23%
18°C
42%
19°C
32%
20°C
13%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project a daily high near 19°C for Moscow on August 27, 2026, with some runs clustering at 18°C amid a cooling synoptic pattern featuring northerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with late-August climatology averages of 20–22°C but sits at the lower end due to recent observed temperature drops and model consensus favoring suppressed daytime warming. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 17–19°C outcomes as a result, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of ensemble guidance and the narrow window before resolution. Historical analogs show similar late-month cooling episodes can shift highs by 2–4°C below baseline when Atlantic or Arctic air intrusions dominate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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