Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 79–81°F for Central Park on August 24, with the 80–81°F bin holding the narrowest edge in trader positioning. A building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and mostly sunny skies supports modest daytime warming, while light southwesterly flow limits marine influence and keeps dew points moderate. Small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, or a passing weak shortwave could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight spread between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated model cycles and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to refine these market-implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 24 августа?
80-81°F 42%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 42%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
67°F or below
$69 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$69 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$69 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$90 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$201 Объем
2%
76-77°F
$231 Объем
5%
78-79°F
$539 Объем
32%
80-81°F
$2,196 Объем
42%
82-83°F
$443 Объем
16%
84-85°F
$90 Объем
3%
86°F or higher
$102 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 79–81°F for Central Park on August 24, with the 80–81°F bin holding the narrowest edge in trader positioning. A building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and mostly sunny skies supports modest daytime warming, while light southwesterly flow limits marine influence and keeps dew points moderate. Small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, or a passing weak shortwave could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight spread between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated model cycles and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$4,101Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 79–81°F for Central Park on August 24, with the 80–81°F bin holding the narrowest edge in trader positioning. A building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and mostly sunny skies supports modest daytime warming, while light southwesterly flow limits marine influence and keeps dew points moderate. Small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, or a passing weak shortwave could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight spread between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated model cycles and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,101Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 79–81°F for Central Park on August 24, with the 80–81°F bin holding the narrowest edge in trader positioning. A building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and mostly sunny skies supports modest daytime warming, while light southwesterly flow limits marine influence and keeps dew points moderate. Small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, or a passing weak shortwave could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight spread between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated model cycles and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to refine these market-implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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