Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a high near 30–32°C in Tokyo on August 23, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit peak insolation and moderate afternoon heating. The strengthening Pacific High has sustained above-normal warmth through mid-August, yet short-term steering patterns favor greater moisture and reduced sunshine compared with preceding days, keeping daily maxima close to the 30.7°C climatological normal. This narrow spread explains the tight market clustering around 30–31°C, as traders weigh the balance between lingering heat advection and the cooling influence of transient cloud and precipitation. Updated JMA guidance and any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 23 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 23 августа?
31°C 30%
30°C 29%
32°C 17%
29°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
29%
31°C
30%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 30%
30°C 29%
32°C 17%
29°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$95 Объем
<1%
26°C
$110 Объем
1%
27°C
$9 Объем
3%
28°C
$12 Объем
5%
29°C
$38 Объем
15%
30°C
$6 Объем
29%
31°C
$78 Объем
30%
32°C
$11 Объем
17%
33°C
$5 Объем
4%
34°C
$0 Объем
3%
35°C or higher
$7 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a high near 30–32°C in Tokyo on August 23, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit peak insolation and moderate afternoon heating. The strengthening Pacific High has sustained above-normal warmth through mid-August, yet short-term steering patterns favor greater moisture and reduced sunshine compared with preceding days, keeping daily maxima close to the 30.7°C climatological normal. This narrow spread explains the tight market clustering around 30–31°C, as traders weigh the balance between lingering heat advection and the cooling influence of transient cloud and precipitation. Updated JMA guidance and any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$371Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a high near 30–32°C in Tokyo on August 23, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit peak insolation and moderate afternoon heating. The strengthening Pacific High has sustained above-normal warmth through mid-August, yet short-term steering patterns favor greater moisture and reduced sunshine compared with preceding days, keeping daily maxima close to the 30.7°C climatological normal. This narrow spread explains the tight market clustering around 30–31°C, as traders weigh the balance between lingering heat advection and the cooling influence of transient cloud and precipitation. Updated JMA guidance and any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$371Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a high near 30–32°C in Tokyo on August 23, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit peak insolation and moderate afternoon heating. The strengthening Pacific High has sustained above-normal warmth through mid-August, yet short-term steering patterns favor greater moisture and reduced sunshine compared with preceding days, keeping daily maxima close to the 30.7°C climatological normal. This narrow spread explains the tight market clustering around 30–31°C, as traders weigh the balance between lingering heat advection and the cooling influence of transient cloud and precipitation. Updated JMA guidance and any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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