Recent JMA guidance and ensemble models indicate a 30–32°C range for Tokyo’s August 21 maximum, driven by a strong Pacific High maintaining subsiding air and above-normal warmth under lingering El Niño conditions. High humidity and urban heat-island effects support peaks near 31°C, while scattered afternoon showers or increased cloud cover could cap readings at 30°C. Model spread remains modest but sensitive to timing of any sea-breeze or convective development. Updated JMA runs and short-range guidance expected over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily temperature market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 21 августа?
31°C 31%
30°C 26%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
26%
31°C
31%
32°C
18%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 31%
30°C 26%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
26%
31°C
31%
32°C
18%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA guidance and ensemble models indicate a 30–32°C range for Tokyo’s August 21 maximum, driven by a strong Pacific High maintaining subsiding air and above-normal warmth under lingering El Niño conditions. High humidity and urban heat-island effects support peaks near 31°C, while scattered afternoon showers or increased cloud cover could cap readings at 30°C. Model spread remains modest but sensitive to timing of any sea-breeze or convective development. Updated JMA runs and short-range guidance expected over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily temperature market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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