The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C reflects ensemble spread in short-range numerical weather prediction models for Moscow on August 21. Primary drivers include the exact track and strength of a mid-level ridge over the East European Plain versus encroaching Atlantic troughs that could enhance cloud cover and cool advection. Daytime maxima hinge on boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux under partly cloudy skies, and whether light southerly flow taps warmer continental air masses. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 20–22°C, so current guidance points to modest positive anomalies. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs expected within 24 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 21 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 21 августа?
23°C 57%
22°C 33%
24°C 20%
25°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
12%
22°C
33%
23°C
57%
24°C
20%
25°C
14%
26°C or higher
9%
23°C 57%
22°C 33%
24°C 20%
25°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$500 Объем
<1%
17°C
$0 Объем
<1%
18°C
$5 Объем
<1%
19°C
$10 Объем
2%
20°C
$15 Объем
11%
21°C
$0 Объем
12%
22°C
$65 Объем
33%
23°C
$260 Объем
57%
24°C
$0 Объем
20%
25°C
$0 Объем
14%
26°C or higher
$32 Объем
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C reflects ensemble spread in short-range numerical weather prediction models for Moscow on August 21. Primary drivers include the exact track and strength of a mid-level ridge over the East European Plain versus encroaching Atlantic troughs that could enhance cloud cover and cool advection. Daytime maxima hinge on boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux under partly cloudy skies, and whether light southerly flow taps warmer continental air masses. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 20–22°C, so current guidance points to modest positive anomalies. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs expected within 24 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$886Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C reflects ensemble spread in short-range numerical weather prediction models for Moscow on August 21. Primary drivers include the exact track and strength of a mid-level ridge over the East European Plain versus encroaching Atlantic troughs that could enhance cloud cover and cool advection. Daytime maxima hinge on boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux under partly cloudy skies, and whether light southerly flow taps warmer continental air masses. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 20–22°C, so current guidance points to modest positive anomalies. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs expected within 24 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$886Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C reflects ensemble spread in short-range numerical weather prediction models for Moscow on August 21. Primary drivers include the exact track and strength of a mid-level ridge over the East European Plain versus encroaching Atlantic troughs that could enhance cloud cover and cool advection. Daytime maxima hinge on boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux under partly cloudy skies, and whether light southerly flow taps warmer continental air masses. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 20–22°C, so current guidance points to modest positive anomalies. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs expected within 24 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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