Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts highlight an incoming cooler, unsettled Atlantic air mass over northern France, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar heating and cap Paris afternoon highs near 23–25°C on August 21. This drives the tight market clustering at 23°C (44%) and 24°C (36%), reflecting modest model spread in peak timing and convective suppression. Typical late-August climatology favors 24–25°C highs, yet the current pattern deviates through enhanced northerly flow and reduced insolation, keeping lower probabilities on 22°C or 25°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before official resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 21 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 21 августа?
23°C 44%
24°C 37%
22°C 13%
25°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$69,056 Объем
НОВОЕ
$69,056 Объем
21 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
44%
24°C
37%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 44%
24°C 37%
22°C 13%
25°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$69,056 Объем
НОВОЕ
$69,056 Объем
21 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$14,162 Объем
1%
21°C
$6,683 Объем
1%
22°C
$4,437 Объем
13%
23°C
$10,715 Объем
44%
24°C
$5,346 Объем
37%
25°C
$6,474 Объем
8%
26°C
$7,830 Объем
1%
27°C
$3,513 Объем
1%
28°C
$2,787 Объем
<1%
29°C
$4,846 Объем
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,263 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts highlight an incoming cooler, unsettled Atlantic air mass over northern France, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar heating and cap Paris afternoon highs near 23–25°C on August 21. This drives the tight market clustering at 23°C (44%) and 24°C (36%), reflecting modest model spread in peak timing and convective suppression. Typical late-August climatology favors 24–25°C highs, yet the current pattern deviates through enhanced northerly flow and reduced insolation, keeping lower probabilities on 22°C or 25°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before official resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$69,056Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts highlight an incoming cooler, unsettled Atlantic air mass over northern France, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar heating and cap Paris afternoon highs near 23–25°C on August 21. This drives the tight market clustering at 23°C (44%) and 24°C (36%), reflecting modest model spread in peak timing and convective suppression. Typical late-August climatology favors 24–25°C highs, yet the current pattern deviates through enhanced northerly flow and reduced insolation, keeping lower probabilities on 22°C or 25°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before official resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$69,056Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts highlight an incoming cooler, unsettled Atlantic air mass over northern France, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar heating and cap Paris afternoon highs near 23–25°C on August 21. This drives the tight market clustering at 23°C (44%) and 24°C (36%), reflecting modest model spread in peak timing and convective suppression. Typical late-August climatology favors 24–25°C highs, yet the current pattern deviates through enhanced northerly flow and reduced insolation, keeping lower probabilities on 22°C or 25°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum before official resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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