Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France and global models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly flow, positioning the Paris minimum near 13–15°C on August 21. Ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, reflecting stable high pressure and modest dew points that favor the observed 14–15°C clustering in trader pricing. Earlier August warmth has given way to this seasonal moderation without extreme advection or precipitation signals that could alter the low. Updated model guidance through the evening will refine exact readings, with official station data from Paris-Montsouris or Orly serving as the resolution benchmark.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 21 августа?
15°C 53%
14°C 42%
13°C 27%
16°C 13%
11°C или ниже
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
24%
14°C
38%
15°C
53%
16°C
16%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C или выше
<1%
15°C 53%
14°C 42%
13°C 27%
16°C 13%
11°C или ниже
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
24%
14°C
38%
15°C
53%
16°C
16%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France and global models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly flow, positioning the Paris minimum near 13–15°C on August 21. Ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, reflecting stable high pressure and modest dew points that favor the observed 14–15°C clustering in trader pricing. Earlier August warmth has given way to this seasonal moderation without extreme advection or precipitation signals that could alter the low. Updated model guidance through the evening will refine exact readings, with official station data from Paris-Montsouris or Orly serving as the resolution benchmark.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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