Recent forecast model consensus, including runs aligned with National Meteorological Service guidance, points to a daytime high near 21°C in Munich on August 21 under moderate atmospheric conditions and a cooling late-summer pattern. This aligns with the market-implied 35.5% probability for 21°C and supports the next tier at 22°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow around seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Recent observational trends show limited heat advection and possible increased cloud cover or northerly flow, keeping extremes below 24°C unlikely at 7.5%. Traders weigh these factors against typical model uncertainty in the 48-hour window before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 21 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 21 августа?
21°C 49%
22°C 20%
23°C 16%
20°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
13%
21°C
36%
22°C
20%
23°C
16%
24°C or higher
8%
21°C 49%
22°C 20%
23°C 16%
20°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$433 Объем
<1%
15°C
$439 Объем
<1%
16°C
$389 Объем
<1%
17°C
$2,093 Объем
1%
18°C
$15 Объем
2%
19°C
$6 Объем
7%
20°C
$0 Объем
13%
21°C
$59 Объем
36%
22°C
$143 Объем
20%
23°C
$91 Объем
16%
24°C or higher
$365 Объем
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus, including runs aligned with National Meteorological Service guidance, points to a daytime high near 21°C in Munich on August 21 under moderate atmospheric conditions and a cooling late-summer pattern. This aligns with the market-implied 35.5% probability for 21°C and supports the next tier at 22°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow around seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Recent observational trends show limited heat advection and possible increased cloud cover or northerly flow, keeping extremes below 24°C unlikely at 7.5%. Traders weigh these factors against typical model uncertainty in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$4,034Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus, including runs aligned with National Meteorological Service guidance, points to a daytime high near 21°C in Munich on August 21 under moderate atmospheric conditions and a cooling late-summer pattern. This aligns with the market-implied 35.5% probability for 21°C and supports the next tier at 22°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow around seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Recent observational trends show limited heat advection and possible increased cloud cover or northerly flow, keeping extremes below 24°C unlikely at 7.5%. Traders weigh these factors against typical model uncertainty in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,034Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus, including runs aligned with National Meteorological Service guidance, points to a daytime high near 21°C in Munich on August 21 under moderate atmospheric conditions and a cooling late-summer pattern. This aligns with the market-implied 35.5% probability for 21°C and supports the next tier at 22°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow around seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Recent observational trends show limited heat advection and possible increased cloud cover or northerly flow, keeping extremes below 24°C unlikely at 7.5%. Traders weigh these factors against typical model uncertainty in the 48-hour window before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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