Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Shenzhen on August 23 because short-range models show persistent subtropical moisture and isolated thunderstorms limiting daytime heating, with consensus highs near 31–33°C amid overcast skies and 70–80% humidity. Regional steering patterns and sea-breeze effects from the South China Sea further moderate extremes, while August climatology (typical highs ~32°C) provides the baseline. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C reflects model spread on convective timing and cloud cover, with any break in storms potentially pushing readings higher; updated NHC or CMA guidance on regional moisture will be the next key input.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 23 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 23 августа?
32°C 38%
31°C 28%
33°C 14%
30°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
38%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 38%
31°C 28%
33°C 14%
30°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$176 Объем
<1%
26°C
$176 Объем
<1%
27°C
$277 Объем
<1%
28°C
$49 Объем
3%
29°C
$45 Объем
5%
30°C
$0 Объем
12%
31°C
$7 Объем
28%
32°C
$1,075 Объем
38%
33°C
$0 Объем
14%
34°C
$139 Объем
7%
35°C or higher
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Shenzhen on August 23 because short-range models show persistent subtropical moisture and isolated thunderstorms limiting daytime heating, with consensus highs near 31–33°C amid overcast skies and 70–80% humidity. Regional steering patterns and sea-breeze effects from the South China Sea further moderate extremes, while August climatology (typical highs ~32°C) provides the baseline. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C reflects model spread on convective timing and cloud cover, with any break in storms potentially pushing readings higher; updated NHC or CMA guidance on regional moisture will be the next key input.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$1,944Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Shenzhen on August 23 because short-range models show persistent subtropical moisture and isolated thunderstorms limiting daytime heating, with consensus highs near 31–33°C amid overcast skies and 70–80% humidity. Regional steering patterns and sea-breeze effects from the South China Sea further moderate extremes, while August climatology (typical highs ~32°C) provides the baseline. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C reflects model spread on convective timing and cloud cover, with any break in storms potentially pushing readings higher; updated NHC or CMA guidance on regional moisture will be the next key input.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,944Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Shenzhen on August 23 because short-range models show persistent subtropical moisture and isolated thunderstorms limiting daytime heating, with consensus highs near 31–33°C amid overcast skies and 70–80% humidity. Regional steering patterns and sea-breeze effects from the South China Sea further moderate extremes, while August climatology (typical highs ~32°C) provides the baseline. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C reflects model spread on convective timing and cloud cover, with any break in storms potentially pushing readings higher; updated NHC or CMA guidance on regional moisture will be the next key input.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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