Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate a cool front arriving after August 23's 22–24°C peak, driving daytime highs on August 25 into the 16–19°C range amid westerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers. This shift aligns with seasonal cooling trends and positions 17–18°C as the consensus maximum, matching the market's highest implied probabilities. Uncertainty stems from variable shower timing and intensity, which could nudge the peak slightly higher or lower, while historical August averages near 21°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 25 августа?
18°C 47%
17°C 35%
19°C 12%
16°C 11%
13°C or below
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
11%
17°C
35%
18°C
47%
19°C
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
5%
18°C 47%
17°C 35%
19°C 12%
16°C 11%
13°C or below
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
11%
17°C
35%
18°C
47%
19°C
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate a cool front arriving after August 23's 22–24°C peak, driving daytime highs on August 25 into the 16–19°C range amid westerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers. This shift aligns with seasonal cooling trends and positions 17–18°C as the consensus maximum, matching the market's highest implied probabilities. Uncertainty stems from variable shower timing and intensity, which could nudge the peak slightly higher or lower, while historical August averages near 21°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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