Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's peak temperature on August 23 centers on uncertainty between 30–32°C, driven by short-range forecast variability in convective activity and cloud cover amid persistent summer monsoon conditions. Official outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate typical late-August patterns of high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and daytime highs near 31°C, with showers potentially suppressing peak readings by limiting solar heating. Recent days have featured very hot conditions exceeding 32°C under clearer skies, but increasing rain chances through the weekend introduce spread in model runs. This aligns with climatological baselines where August averages hover around 30–32°C, while the tight market distribution underscores how minor shifts in timing of precipitation or wind could tip resolution among the leading bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 23 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 23 августа?
31°C 33%
30°C 31%
32°C 28%
29°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
31%
31°C
33%
32°C
28%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
30°C 31%
32°C 28%
29°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$187 Объем
<1%
26°C
$112 Объем
1%
27°C
$107 Объем
1%
28°C
$167 Объем
3%
29°C
$156 Объем
8%
30°C
$231 Объем
31%
31°C
$199 Объем
33%
32°C
$217 Объем
28%
33°C
$77 Объем
5%
34°C
$81 Объем
1%
35°C or higher
$192 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's peak temperature on August 23 centers on uncertainty between 30–32°C, driven by short-range forecast variability in convective activity and cloud cover amid persistent summer monsoon conditions. Official outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate typical late-August patterns of high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and daytime highs near 31°C, with showers potentially suppressing peak readings by limiting solar heating. Recent days have featured very hot conditions exceeding 32°C under clearer skies, but increasing rain chances through the weekend introduce spread in model runs. This aligns with climatological baselines where August averages hover around 30–32°C, while the tight market distribution underscores how minor shifts in timing of precipitation or wind could tip resolution among the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,724Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's peak temperature on August 23 centers on uncertainty between 30–32°C, driven by short-range forecast variability in convective activity and cloud cover amid persistent summer monsoon conditions. Official outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate typical late-August patterns of high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and daytime highs near 31°C, with showers potentially suppressing peak readings by limiting solar heating. Recent days have featured very hot conditions exceeding 32°C under clearer skies, but increasing rain chances through the weekend introduce spread in model runs. This aligns with climatological baselines where August averages hover around 30–32°C, while the tight market distribution underscores how minor shifts in timing of precipitation or wind could tip resolution among the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,724Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's peak temperature on August 23 centers on uncertainty between 30–32°C, driven by short-range forecast variability in convective activity and cloud cover amid persistent summer monsoon conditions. Official outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate typical late-August patterns of high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and daytime highs near 31°C, with showers potentially suppressing peak readings by limiting solar heating. Recent days have featured very hot conditions exceeding 32°C under clearer skies, but increasing rain chances through the weekend introduce spread in model runs. This aligns with climatological baselines where August averages hover around 30–32°C, while the tight market distribution underscores how minor shifts in timing of precipitation or wind could tip resolution among the leading bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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