The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 23 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 23 августа?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,034 Объем
$24,034 Объем
23 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,034 Объем
$24,034 Объем
23 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$748 Объем
No
22°C
$1,374 Объем
No
23°C
$2,150 Объем
No
24°C
$2,129 Объем
No
25°C
$2,660 Объем
No
26°C
$1,819 Объем
No
27°C
$3,071 Объем
No
28°C
$5,802 Объем
Yes
29°C
$3,111 Объем
No
30°C
$769 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$400 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$24,034Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$24,034Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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