Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature in San Francisco on September 3 most likely falling in the upper 60s to low 70s, with marine-layer stratus and patchy drizzle limiting afternoon warming. Persistent onshore flow and elevated humidity from a weak frontal system have kept recent daily highs near or slightly below the 69–70°F climatological average, creating tight clustering between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F market bins. Key variables still in play include exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer mixing depth, both of which can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Updated short-range model cycles and morning soundings will provide the next clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 3 сентября?
70-71°F 35%
68-69°F 31%
72–73°F 16%
66-67°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
35%
72–73°F
16%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80°F или выше
<1%
70-71°F 35%
68-69°F 31%
72–73°F 16%
66-67°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$0 Объем
1%
64-65°F
$26 Объем
4%
66-67°F
$677 Объем
7%
68-69°F
$372 Объем
31%
70-71°F
$92 Объем
35%
72–73°F
$184 Объем
16%
74-75°F
$414 Объем
3%
76-77°F
$82 Объем
1%
78-79°F
$110 Объем
1%
80°F или выше
$5 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature in San Francisco on September 3 most likely falling in the upper 60s to low 70s, with marine-layer stratus and patchy drizzle limiting afternoon warming. Persistent onshore flow and elevated humidity from a weak frontal system have kept recent daily highs near or slightly below the 69–70°F climatological average, creating tight clustering between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F market bins. Key variables still in play include exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer mixing depth, both of which can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Updated short-range model cycles and morning soundings will provide the next clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,961Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature in San Francisco on September 3 most likely falling in the upper 60s to low 70s, with marine-layer stratus and patchy drizzle limiting afternoon warming. Persistent onshore flow and elevated humidity from a weak frontal system have kept recent daily highs near or slightly below the 69–70°F climatological average, creating tight clustering between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F market bins. Key variables still in play include exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer mixing depth, both of which can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Updated short-range model cycles and morning soundings will provide the next clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,961Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature in San Francisco on September 3 most likely falling in the upper 60s to low 70s, with marine-layer stratus and patchy drizzle limiting afternoon warming. Persistent onshore flow and elevated humidity from a weak frontal system have kept recent daily highs near or slightly below the 69–70°F climatological average, creating tight clustering between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F market bins. Key variables still in play include exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer mixing depth, both of which can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Updated short-range model cycles and morning soundings will provide the next clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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