Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate rain or thundershowers, and northeasterly winds over Shenzhen on September 2, driven by residual moisture from nearby tropical systems. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, constraining daytime maxima primarily to the 28–31°C range. Ensemble model consensus shows limited variability tied to exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness, with higher readings possible only under brief clearing. This scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer processes underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance expected overnight could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 2 сентября?
30°C 34%
29°C 29%
31°C 20%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
29%
30°C
34%
31°C
20%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
29°C 29%
31°C 20%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$426 Объем
<1%
25°C
$534 Объем
<1%
26°C
$724 Объем
1%
27°C
$371 Объем
4%
28°C
$681 Объем
13%
29°C
$850 Объем
29%
30°C
$959 Объем
34%
31°C
$712 Объем
20%
32°C
$366 Объем
7%
33°C
$773 Объем
2%
34°C or higher
$395 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate rain or thundershowers, and northeasterly winds over Shenzhen on September 2, driven by residual moisture from nearby tropical systems. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, constraining daytime maxima primarily to the 28–31°C range. Ensemble model consensus shows limited variability tied to exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness, with higher readings possible only under brief clearing. This scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer processes underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance expected overnight could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$6,792Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate rain or thundershowers, and northeasterly winds over Shenzhen on September 2, driven by residual moisture from nearby tropical systems. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, constraining daytime maxima primarily to the 28–31°C range. Ensemble model consensus shows limited variability tied to exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness, with higher readings possible only under brief clearing. This scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer processes underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance expected overnight could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,792Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate rain or thundershowers, and northeasterly winds over Shenzhen on September 2, driven by residual moisture from nearby tropical systems. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, constraining daytime maxima primarily to the 28–31°C range. Ensemble model consensus shows limited variability tied to exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness, with higher readings possible only under brief clearing. This scientific uncertainty in boundary-layer processes underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance expected overnight could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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