Forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models show a mostly cloudy Tuesday with highs centered near 30–31°C, driven by lingering summer warmth, light southeasterly flow, and high humidity that limits overnight cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because multiple runs indicate only modest daytime heating under partial cloud cover, with little risk of stronger advection or clear-sky intensification. Small differences in predicted cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact maximum by 1°C, creating the observed spread across 29–32°C outcomes and reflecting inherent short-range model uncertainty two days out. Updated guidance on September 1 morning will refine resolution criteria based on official Tokyo observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 1 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 1 сентября?
30°C 32%
31°C 26%
29°C 17%
32°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
17%
30°C
32%
31°C
26%
32°C
13%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 26%
29°C 17%
32°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$158 Объем
<1%
27°C
$1 Объем
2%
28°C
$247 Объем
6%
29°C
$443 Объем
17%
30°C
$192 Объем
32%
31°C
$186 Объем
26%
32°C
$278 Объем
13%
33°C
$56 Объем
5%
34°C
$70 Объем
3%
35°C
$38 Объем
1%
36°C or higher
$117 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models show a mostly cloudy Tuesday with highs centered near 30–31°C, driven by lingering summer warmth, light southeasterly flow, and high humidity that limits overnight cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because multiple runs indicate only modest daytime heating under partial cloud cover, with little risk of stronger advection or clear-sky intensification. Small differences in predicted cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact maximum by 1°C, creating the observed spread across 29–32°C outcomes and reflecting inherent short-range model uncertainty two days out. Updated guidance on September 1 morning will refine resolution criteria based on official Tokyo observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,787Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models show a mostly cloudy Tuesday with highs centered near 30–31°C, driven by lingering summer warmth, light southeasterly flow, and high humidity that limits overnight cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because multiple runs indicate only modest daytime heating under partial cloud cover, with little risk of stronger advection or clear-sky intensification. Small differences in predicted cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact maximum by 1°C, creating the observed spread across 29–32°C outcomes and reflecting inherent short-range model uncertainty two days out. Updated guidance on September 1 morning will refine resolution criteria based on official Tokyo observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,787Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models show a mostly cloudy Tuesday with highs centered near 30–31°C, driven by lingering summer warmth, light southeasterly flow, and high humidity that limits overnight cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because multiple runs indicate only modest daytime heating under partial cloud cover, with little risk of stronger advection or clear-sky intensification. Small differences in predicted cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact maximum by 1°C, creating the observed spread across 29–32°C outcomes and reflecting inherent short-range model uncertainty two days out. Updated guidance on September 1 morning will refine resolution criteria based on official Tokyo observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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