Recent National Weather Service forecasts from the New York forecast office indicate a high near 82–84°F for Central Park and surrounding airports on August 30, with mostly sunny conditions and light southwest winds. This consensus, driven by high pressure and limited moisture, explains why the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins hold the highest implied probabilities at 31% and 28.5%. Afternoon sea-breeze influences or minor cloud increases could cap the peak closer to 82°F, while stronger mixing would favor the upper end of that range. Model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 30 августа?
82-83°F 31%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 9%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
3%
92°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 31%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 9%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
3%
92°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts from the New York forecast office indicate a high near 82–84°F for Central Park and surrounding airports on August 30, with mostly sunny conditions and light southwest winds. This consensus, driven by high pressure and limited moisture, explains why the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins hold the highest implied probabilities at 31% and 28.5%. Afternoon sea-breeze influences or minor cloud increases could cap the peak closer to 82°F, while stronger mixing would favor the upper end of that range. Model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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