**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and private models places the August 29 high in central NYC near 80–83 °F under mostly sunny skies and northerly flow behind a departing frontal system, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average of 81.3 °F.** Trader-implied probabilities remain evenly distributed across 76–88 °F+ bins because short-range model spreads and urban heat-island variability still allow modest upside or downside from the central forecast. Key differentiating factors include daytime radiative heating rates under clear conditions, boundary-layer mixing from 5–10 mph northerly winds, and the precise timing of any residual moisture or afternoon cumulus that could cap maximum temperatures. With resolution imminent, the next National Weather Service updates and real-time observations will tighten the distribution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 29 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 29 августа?
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 31%
82-83°F 25%
76-77°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
5%
88°F or higher
4%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 31%
82-83°F 25%
76-77°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
69°F or below
$0 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Объем
1%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
1%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
14%
78-79°F
$18 Объем
30%
80-81°F
$35 Объем
30%
82-83°F
$20 Объем
25%
84-85°F
$0 Объем
4%
86-87°F
$0 Объем
5%
88°F or higher
$0 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and private models places the August 29 high in central NYC near 80–83 °F under mostly sunny skies and northerly flow behind a departing frontal system, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average of 81.3 °F.**
Trader-implied probabilities remain evenly distributed across 76–88 °F+ bins because short-range model spreads and urban heat-island variability still allow modest upside or downside from the central forecast. Key differentiating factors include daytime radiative heating rates under clear conditions, boundary-layer mixing from 5–10 mph northerly winds, and the precise timing of any residual moisture or afternoon cumulus that could cap maximum temperatures. With resolution imminent, the next National Weather Service updates and real-time observations will tighten the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$73Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and private models places the August 29 high in central NYC near 80–83 °F under mostly sunny skies and northerly flow behind a departing frontal system, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average of 81.3 °F.**
Trader-implied probabilities remain evenly distributed across 76–88 °F+ bins because short-range model spreads and urban heat-island variability still allow modest upside or downside from the central forecast. Key differentiating factors include daytime radiative heating rates under clear conditions, boundary-layer mixing from 5–10 mph northerly winds, and the precise timing of any residual moisture or afternoon cumulus that could cap maximum temperatures. With resolution imminent, the next National Weather Service updates and real-time observations will tighten the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$73Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and private models places the August 29 high in central NYC near 80–83 °F under mostly sunny skies and northerly flow behind a departing frontal system, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average of 81.3 °F.** Trader-implied probabilities remain evenly distributed across 76–88 °F+ bins because short-range model spreads and urban heat-island variability still allow modest upside or downside from the central forecast. Key differentiating factors include daytime radiative heating rates under clear conditions, boundary-layer mixing from 5–10 mph northerly winds, and the precise timing of any residual moisture or afternoon cumulus that could cap maximum temperatures. With resolution imminent, the next National Weather Service updates and real-time observations will tighten the distribution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы