Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a mild winter day in Wellington driven by northerly winds advecting relatively warm air from the Tasman Sea, supporting a daytime maximum near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy skies with showers. This aligns with the market’s strong 63 % implied probability for 15 °C and 21 % for 16 °C, as ensemble guidance shows limited potential for significant warming or cooling. Historical climatology places the typical August high at 13–14 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader positioning ahead of the August 28 resolution. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind direction or cloud cover remain the key variables that could adjust these odds before market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 28 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 28 августа?
15°C 63%
16°C 21%
14°C 10%
17°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
10%
15°C
63%
16°C
21%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 63%
16°C 21%
14°C 10%
17°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$103 Объем
1%
11°C
$55 Объем
1%
12°C
$7 Объем
1%
13°C
$124 Объем
3%
14°C
$657 Объем
10%
15°C
$191 Объем
63%
16°C
$21 Объем
21%
17°C
$114 Объем
4%
18°C
$85 Объем
2%
19°C
$54 Объем
1%
20°C or higher
$41 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a mild winter day in Wellington driven by northerly winds advecting relatively warm air from the Tasman Sea, supporting a daytime maximum near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy skies with showers. This aligns with the market’s strong 63 % implied probability for 15 °C and 21 % for 16 °C, as ensemble guidance shows limited potential for significant warming or cooling. Historical climatology places the typical August high at 13–14 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader positioning ahead of the August 28 resolution. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind direction or cloud cover remain the key variables that could adjust these odds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,267Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a mild winter day in Wellington driven by northerly winds advecting relatively warm air from the Tasman Sea, supporting a daytime maximum near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy skies with showers. This aligns with the market’s strong 63 % implied probability for 15 °C and 21 % for 16 °C, as ensemble guidance shows limited potential for significant warming or cooling. Historical climatology places the typical August high at 13–14 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader positioning ahead of the August 28 resolution. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind direction or cloud cover remain the key variables that could adjust these odds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,267Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a mild winter day in Wellington driven by northerly winds advecting relatively warm air from the Tasman Sea, supporting a daytime maximum near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy skies with showers. This aligns with the market’s strong 63 % implied probability for 15 °C and 21 % for 16 °C, as ensemble guidance shows limited potential for significant warming or cooling. Historical climatology places the typical August high at 13–14 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader positioning ahead of the August 28 resolution. Updated model runs and any shifts in wind direction or cloud cover remain the key variables that could adjust these odds before market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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