Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a partly cloudy to mostly cloudy regime over Paris on August 26, with southerly to southwesterly flow and light shower chances limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance and deterministic runs cluster maximum temperatures in the 27–29 °C range, producing the current market distribution that assigns the highest implied probabilities to 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any cloud breaks during peak insolation hours, boundary-layer moisture from overnight rain, and modest wind speeds that affect mixing; small shifts in these variables can readily move the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data from Météo-France over the next 48 hours will narrow this spread ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 26 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 26 августа?
28°C 37%
27°C 21%
29°C 17%
26°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
21%
28°C
37%
29°C
24%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
27°C 21%
29°C 17%
26°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$25 Объем
3%
24°C
$0 Объем
2%
25°C
$0 Объем
4%
26°C
$96 Объем
10%
27°C
$97 Объем
21%
28°C
$202 Объем
37%
29°C
$155 Объем
24%
30°C
$91 Объем
6%
31°C
$0 Объем
6%
32°C
$0 Объем
<1%
33°C or higher
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a partly cloudy to mostly cloudy regime over Paris on August 26, with southerly to southwesterly flow and light shower chances limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance and deterministic runs cluster maximum temperatures in the 27–29 °C range, producing the current market distribution that assigns the highest implied probabilities to 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any cloud breaks during peak insolation hours, boundary-layer moisture from overnight rain, and modest wind speeds that affect mixing; small shifts in these variables can readily move the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data from Météo-France over the next 48 hours will narrow this spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$665Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a partly cloudy to mostly cloudy regime over Paris on August 26, with southerly to southwesterly flow and light shower chances limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance and deterministic runs cluster maximum temperatures in the 27–29 °C range, producing the current market distribution that assigns the highest implied probabilities to 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any cloud breaks during peak insolation hours, boundary-layer moisture from overnight rain, and modest wind speeds that affect mixing; small shifts in these variables can readily move the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data from Météo-France over the next 48 hours will narrow this spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$665Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a partly cloudy to mostly cloudy regime over Paris on August 26, with southerly to southwesterly flow and light shower chances limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance and deterministic runs cluster maximum temperatures in the 27–29 °C range, producing the current market distribution that assigns the highest implied probabilities to 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any cloud breaks during peak insolation hours, boundary-layer moisture from overnight rain, and modest wind speeds that affect mixing; small shifts in these variables can readily move the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data from Météo-France over the next 48 hours will narrow this spread ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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