Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum of 21–22°C for London on August 24, driven by an easterly airflow advecting cooler maritime air under increasing cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to mid-August heatwave peaks exceeding 30°C. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 32.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C, while the modest 21.5% on 23°C reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any brief sunny breaks. Historical August normals near 22°C provide context, but current stable high pressure and low precipitation risk (under 10%) reinforce trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 24 августа?
22°C 33%
21°C 32%
23°C 21%
20°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
32%
22°C
33%
23°C
21%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 33%
21°C 32%
23°C 21%
20°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$30 Объем
4%
18°C
$49 Объем
4%
19°C
$50 Объем
3%
20°C
$102 Объем
13%
21°C
$87 Объем
32%
22°C
$32 Объем
33%
23°C
$19 Объем
21%
24°C
$10 Объем
5%
25°C
$15 Объем
2%
26°C
$61 Объем
2%
27°C or higher
$5 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum of 21–22°C for London on August 24, driven by an easterly airflow advecting cooler maritime air under increasing cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to mid-August heatwave peaks exceeding 30°C. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 32.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C, while the modest 21.5% on 23°C reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any brief sunny breaks. Historical August normals near 22°C provide context, but current stable high pressure and low precipitation risk (under 10%) reinforce trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Объем
$460Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum of 21–22°C for London on August 24, driven by an easterly airflow advecting cooler maritime air under increasing cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to mid-August heatwave peaks exceeding 30°C. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 32.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C, while the modest 21.5% on 23°C reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any brief sunny breaks. Historical August normals near 22°C provide context, but current stable high pressure and low precipitation risk (under 10%) reinforce trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$460Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum of 21–22°C for London on August 24, driven by an easterly airflow advecting cooler maritime air under increasing cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to mid-August heatwave peaks exceeding 30°C. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 32.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C, while the modest 21.5% on 23°C reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any brief sunny breaks. Historical August normals near 22°C provide context, but current stable high pressure and low precipitation risk (under 10%) reinforce trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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