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icon for Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?

авг. 22

авг. 23

авг. 24

авг. 22

авг. 23

авг. 24

16°C or higher 97%

6°C or below 95%

8°C 28%

7°C 27%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

16°C or higher 97%

6°C or below 95%

8°C 28%

7°C 27%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

6°C or below

$5 Объем

95%

7°C

$0 Объем

27%

8°C

$0 Объем

28%

9°C

$0 Объем

26%

10°C

$0 Объем

26%

11°C

$0 Объем

26%

12°C

$0 Объем

26%

13°C

$0 Объем

26%

14°C

$0 Объем

26%

15°C

$5 Объем

8%

16°C or higher

$5 Объем

97%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts position Munich's overnight low on August 24 near 7–9 °C**, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor strong radiational cooling after a daytime high around 22 °C. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread: drier northerly flow supports the lower end, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly advection could lift minima toward 10–12 °C. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 12–14 °C, so the cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge rather than a seasonal shift. With the two leading market outcomes (≤6 °C and ≥16 °C) each near 50 % implied probability, traders are pricing residual model disagreement and the narrow time window before resolution, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and MeteoSwiss will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$15
Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts position Munich's overnight low on August 24 near 7–9 °C**, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor strong radiational cooling after a daytime high around 22 °C. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread: drier northerly flow supports the lower end, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly advection could lift minima toward 10–12 °C. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 12–14 °C, so the cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge rather than a seasonal shift. With the two leading market outcomes (≤6 °C and ≥16 °C) each near 50 % implied probability, traders are pricing residual model disagreement and the narrow time window before resolution, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and MeteoSwiss will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$15
Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?

36%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C on August 23?

Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C on August 23?

33%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 12°C on August 22?

Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 12°C on August 22?

36%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «16°C or higher» с 49%, за ним следует «6°C or below» с 48%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 49¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?» — «16°C or higher» с 49%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Следующий ближайший исход — «6°C or below» с 48%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 24 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.