Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow overnight lows on August 24 will likely fall in the 11–14°C range under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where average minimums decline from ~15°C early in the month toward 13°C by month-end. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small variations in nocturnal radiative cooling—driven by cloud cover, wind speed, and surface moisture—can shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Clearer, calmer conditions enhance longwave heat loss from the ground, favoring colder readings near or below 10°C, whereas increased cloudiness or stronger southerly flow would limit cooling and support milder values above 18°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and sky conditions ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 24 августа?
9°C или ниже 99%
19°C или выше 60%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
9°C или ниже
99%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C или выше
60%
9°C или ниже 99%
19°C или выше 60%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
9°C или ниже
99%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C или выше
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow overnight lows on August 24 will likely fall in the 11–14°C range under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where average minimums decline from ~15°C early in the month toward 13°C by month-end. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small variations in nocturnal radiative cooling—driven by cloud cover, wind speed, and surface moisture—can shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Clearer, calmer conditions enhance longwave heat loss from the ground, favoring colder readings near or below 10°C, whereas increased cloudiness or stronger southerly flow would limit cooling and support milder values above 18°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and sky conditions ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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