Current forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds over Warsaw on August 24, supporting an overnight minimum near 11–13°C as high pressure builds and allows moderate radiational cooling under clear to partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 12–15°C absent strong cold advection. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between the extreme bins (7°C or below versus 17°C or higher) because small differences in cloud cover, dew point, or wind speed near dawn can shift the exact minimum by several degrees, while central outcomes around 11–13°C reflect the consensus range. Updated model runs and official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport will refine the resolution threshold ahead of market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 24 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 24 августа?
7°C или ниже 96%
17°C или выше 95%
15°C 31%
16°C 31%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
96%
8°C
16%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
16%
15°C
31%
16°C
31%
17°C или выше
95%
7°C или ниже 96%
17°C или выше 95%
15°C 31%
16°C 31%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$5 Объем
96%
8°C
$0 Объем
16%
9°C
$0 Объем
19%
10°C
$0 Объем
19%
11°C
$0 Объем
19%
12°C
$0 Объем
19%
13°C
$0 Объем
19%
14°C
$4 Объем
16%
15°C
$5 Объем
31%
16°C
$5 Объем
31%
17°C или выше
$5 Объем
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds over Warsaw on August 24, supporting an overnight minimum near 11–13°C as high pressure builds and allows moderate radiational cooling under clear to partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 12–15°C absent strong cold advection. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between the extreme bins (7°C or below versus 17°C or higher) because small differences in cloud cover, dew point, or wind speed near dawn can shift the exact minimum by several degrees, while central outcomes around 11–13°C reflect the consensus range. Updated model runs and official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport will refine the resolution threshold ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Объем
$24Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds over Warsaw on August 24, supporting an overnight minimum near 11–13°C as high pressure builds and allows moderate radiational cooling under clear to partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 12–15°C absent strong cold advection. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between the extreme bins (7°C or below versus 17°C or higher) because small differences in cloud cover, dew point, or wind speed near dawn can shift the exact minimum by several degrees, while central outcomes around 11–13°C reflect the consensus range. Updated model runs and official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport will refine the resolution threshold ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$24Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds over Warsaw on August 24, supporting an overnight minimum near 11–13°C as high pressure builds and allows moderate radiational cooling under clear to partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 12–15°C absent strong cold advection. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between the extreme bins (7°C or below versus 17°C or higher) because small differences in cloud cover, dew point, or wind speed near dawn can shift the exact minimum by several degrees, while central outcomes around 11–13°C reflect the consensus range. Updated model runs and official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport will refine the resolution threshold ahead of market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы