Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum of 18–19°C for Cape Town on August 24, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Southerly winds and high pressure are expected to deliver mostly clear skies and dry conditions, limiting afternoon warming while preventing significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. This setup matches typical mid-winter patterns for the region, where historical averages near 17°C provide context for the modest upside potential to 20°C or slight downside to 17°C depending on exact wind timing and local measurement. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus model runs showing peak readings in the narrow 18–19°C band, with limited volatility anticipated before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 24 августа?
19°C 44%
18°C 29%
20°C 18%
17°C 11%
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
10%
17°C
11%
18°C
29%
19°C
44%
20°C
18%
21°C
11%
22°C
9%
23°C или выше
1%
19°C 44%
18°C 29%
20°C 18%
17°C 11%
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
10%
17°C
11%
18°C
29%
19°C
44%
20°C
18%
21°C
11%
22°C
9%
23°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum of 18–19°C for Cape Town on August 24, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Southerly winds and high pressure are expected to deliver mostly clear skies and dry conditions, limiting afternoon warming while preventing significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. This setup matches typical mid-winter patterns for the region, where historical averages near 17°C provide context for the modest upside potential to 20°C or slight downside to 17°C depending on exact wind timing and local measurement. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus model runs showing peak readings in the narrow 18–19°C band, with limited volatility anticipated before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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