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icon for Самая высокая температура в Ухане 26 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Ухане 26 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Ухане 26 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Ухане 26 августа?

37°C 32%

36°C 29%

38°C 17%

35°C 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

37°C 32%

36°C 29%

38°C 17%

35°C 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

30°C or below

$0 Объем

1%

31°C

$0 Объем

1%

32°C

$0 Объем

2%

33°C

$17 Объем

7%

34°C

$0 Объем

8%

35°C

$0 Объем

12%

36°C

$0 Объем

29%

37°C

$11 Объем

32%

38°C

$18 Объем

17%

39°C

$0 Объем

5%

40°C or higher

$0 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure and strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies are keeping late-August temperatures elevated in Wuhan, with official guidance and ensemble models showing daily maxima clustered around 35–37°C for August 26.** Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to 35–36°C under sunny conditions with light easterly flow, while some AccuWeather guidance has trended slightly warmer near 38°C. This narrow spread reflects typical late-summer variability: minor differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or the timing of any weak short-wave disturbances can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology for Wuhan in late August shows highs most often between 33–38°C, so the current market distribution—with 36°C and 37°C as the closest outcomes—captures the realistic envelope of outcomes given model spread and the short lead time to resolution. New model runs and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$46
Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure and strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies are keeping late-August temperatures elevated in Wuhan, with official guidance and ensemble models showing daily maxima clustered around 35–37°C for August 26.** Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to 35–36°C under sunny conditions with light easterly flow, while some AccuWeather guidance has trended slightly warmer near 38°C. This narrow spread reflects typical late-summer variability: minor differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or the timing of any weak short-wave disturbances can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology for Wuhan in late August shows highs most often between 33–38°C, so the current market distribution—with 36°C and 37°C as the closest outcomes—captures the realistic envelope of outcomes given model spread and the short lead time to resolution. New model runs and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$46
Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Ухане 26 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «37°C» с 32%, за ним следует «36°C» с 29%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 32¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 32%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Ухане 26 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 24, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Ухане 26 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Ухане 26 августа?» — «37°C» с 32%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 32%. Следующий ближайший исход — «36°C» с 29%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Ухане 26 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.