**Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30–32°C because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project a typical late-summer maximum under subtropical high pressure, tempered by monsoon moisture and isolated thunderstorms that reduce peak solar heating.** High humidity near 70–80 % and overnight lows around 26 °C support these values, consistent with August climatology where the long-term average high reaches approximately 32 °C. Trader sentiment remains balanced as minor differences in cloud-cover timing or convective cooling could shift the official 24-hour maximum by 1–2 °C, with resolution hinging on verified station readings rather than model peaks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 24 августа?
31°C 29%
30°C 28%
32°C 23%
29°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
29%
32°C
23%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C или выше
1%
31°C 29%
30°C 28%
32°C 23%
29°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
26°C
$0 Объем
1%
27°C
$111 Объем
3%
28°C
$2 Объем
8%
29°C
$0 Объем
11%
30°C
$2 Объем
28%
31°C
$13 Объем
29%
32°C
$108 Объем
23%
33°C
$0 Объем
7%
34°C
$7 Объем
3%
35°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30–32°C because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project a typical late-summer maximum under subtropical high pressure, tempered by monsoon moisture and isolated thunderstorms that reduce peak solar heating.**
High humidity near 70–80 % and overnight lows around 26 °C support these values, consistent with August climatology where the long-term average high reaches approximately 32 °C. Trader sentiment remains balanced as minor differences in cloud-cover timing or convective cooling could shift the official 24-hour maximum by 1–2 °C, with resolution hinging on verified station readings rather than model peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$244Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30–32°C because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project a typical late-summer maximum under subtropical high pressure, tempered by monsoon moisture and isolated thunderstorms that reduce peak solar heating.**
High humidity near 70–80 % and overnight lows around 26 °C support these values, consistent with August climatology where the long-term average high reaches approximately 32 °C. Trader sentiment remains balanced as minor differences in cloud-cover timing or convective cooling could shift the official 24-hour maximum by 1–2 °C, with resolution hinging on verified station readings rather than model peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$244Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30–32°C because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project a typical late-summer maximum under subtropical high pressure, tempered by monsoon moisture and isolated thunderstorms that reduce peak solar heating.** High humidity near 70–80 % and overnight lows around 26 °C support these values, consistent with August climatology where the long-term average high reaches approximately 32 °C. Trader sentiment remains balanced as minor differences in cloud-cover timing or convective cooling could shift the official 24-hour maximum by 1–2 °C, with resolution hinging on verified station readings rather than model peaks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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