Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Dallas high near 105–108°F for August 23, 2026, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover sustaining the ongoing heat wave. This positions 106–107°F as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins capturing typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent days of 103–107°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in the upper end of climatological norms for late August, while limited thunderstorm chances offer only marginal cooling potential before peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 23 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Далласе 23 августа?
106-107°F 47%
108-109°F 25%
104-105°F 21%
110-111°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
21%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
25%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 47%
108-109°F 25%
104-105°F 21%
110-111°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
101°F or below
$62 Объем
2%
102-103°F
$332 Объем
4%
104-105°F
$193 Объем
21%
106-107°F
$130 Объем
47%
108-109°F
$41 Объем
25%
110-111°F
$5 Объем
5%
112-113°F
$48 Объем
2%
114-115°F
$42 Объем
1%
116-117°F
$50 Объем
1%
118-119°F
$207 Объем
<1%
120°F or higher
$222 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Dallas high near 105–108°F for August 23, 2026, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover sustaining the ongoing heat wave. This positions 106–107°F as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins capturing typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent days of 103–107°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in the upper end of climatological norms for late August, while limited thunderstorm chances offer only marginal cooling potential before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$1,333Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Dallas high near 105–108°F for August 23, 2026, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover sustaining the ongoing heat wave. This positions 106–107°F as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins capturing typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent days of 103–107°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in the upper end of climatological norms for late August, while limited thunderstorm chances offer only marginal cooling potential before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,333Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Dallas high near 105–108°F for August 23, 2026, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover sustaining the ongoing heat wave. This positions 106–107°F as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins capturing typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent days of 103–107°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in the upper end of climatological norms for late August, while limited thunderstorm chances offer only marginal cooling potential before peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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