Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on August 24 most likely reaching 25–27°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 26°C (32%) and 27°C (23.5%). Northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with increasing cloud cover and light shower potential, limits diurnal heating below late-August climatological norms of 24.6°C. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud thickness and timing of any precipitation, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs and Météo-France guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for this short-range temperature market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 24 августа?
26°C 33%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
28°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
21%
26°C
33%
27°C
25%
28°C
9%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
28°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$131 Объем
1%
24°C
$138 Объем
7%
25°C
$452 Объем
21%
26°C
$391 Объем
33%
27°C
$439 Объем
25%
28°C
$539 Объем
9%
29°C
$326 Объем
4%
30°C
$482 Объем
2%
31°C
$246 Объем
2%
32°C
$5 Объем
2%
33°C or higher
$5 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on August 24 most likely reaching 25–27°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 26°C (32%) and 27°C (23.5%). Northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with increasing cloud cover and light shower potential, limits diurnal heating below late-August climatological norms of 24.6°C. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud thickness and timing of any precipitation, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs and Météo-France guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for this short-range temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Объем
$3,154Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on August 24 most likely reaching 25–27°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 26°C (32%) and 27°C (23.5%). Northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with increasing cloud cover and light shower potential, limits diurnal heating below late-August climatological norms of 24.6°C. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud thickness and timing of any precipitation, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs and Météo-France guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for this short-range temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,154Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on August 24 most likely reaching 25–27°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 26°C (32%) and 27°C (23.5%). Northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with increasing cloud cover and light shower potential, limits diurnal heating below late-August climatological norms of 24.6°C. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud thickness and timing of any precipitation, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs and Météo-France guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for this short-range temperature market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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