Skip to main content
icon for Самая высокая температура в Токио 26 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Токио 26 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Токио 26 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Токио 26 августа?

34°C 40%

35°C 30%

33°C 13%

36°C 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

34°C 40%

35°C 30%

33°C 13%

36°C 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

28°C or below

$0 Объем

<1%

29°C

$0 Объем

<1%

30°C

$5 Объем

<1%

31°C

$5 Объем

6%

32°C

$228 Объем

8%

33°C

$5 Объем

17%

34°C

$129 Объем

40%

35°C

$38 Объем

30%

36°C

$163 Объем

11%

37°C

$0 Объем

3%

38°C or higher

$0 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 26 indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible after midday and light northeasterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and 20–30% precipitation chances limit peak solar insolation and convective heating relative to clearer conditions on the 25th, keeping readings close to the late-August climatological average near 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with brief afternoon clearing the main variable that could allow a one-degree nudge higher. High humidity and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface warming. Trader positioning around 34°C as the slight favorite reflects these near-term conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty two days out.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$573
Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 26 indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible after midday and light northeasterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and 20–30% precipitation chances limit peak solar insolation and convective heating relative to clearer conditions on the 25th, keeping readings close to the late-August climatological average near 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with brief afternoon clearing the main variable that could allow a one-degree nudge higher. High humidity and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface warming. Trader positioning around 34°C as the slight favorite reflects these near-term conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty two days out.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$573
Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Токио 26 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «34°C» с 40%, за ним следует «35°C» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 40¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Токио 26 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 24, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Токио 26 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Токио 26 августа?» — «34°C» с 40%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Следующий ближайший исход — «35°C» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Токио 26 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.