Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow's August 28 maximum temperature likely falling between 17–20°C, shaped by northerly air advection and variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Model runs differ modestly on exact wind speeds and timing of any clearing, producing a spread that keeps market-implied odds balanced near 50% across bins from the mid-teens upward. Historical late-August normals near 19°C provide context, yet the two-day horizon means updated model guidance on pressure gradients and boundary-layer mixing could still shift the precise peak by 1–2°C before resolution.