**Forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a high of 35–36°C for Wuhan on August 28 under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 3–5 m/s, following the end of the prolonged sanfu heat period.** Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear conditions continue to support strong daytime heating, though a gradual cooling trend is evident with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers expected from August 29 onward. Recent observations show today’s peak near 37°C, and ensemble forecasts reflect modest uncertainty around the precise maximum due to local urban heat island effects and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 37°C (50.5%), consistent with historical late-August maxima in the region and the risk that models under-forecast peak temperatures during high-pressure dominance. Updated model runs and the final 8:00 a.m. local briefing from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory represent the next key data points that could shift positioning before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 28 августа?
37°C 51%
36°C 23%
38°C 19%
35°C 5%
$14,886 Объем
$14,886 Объем
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C
23%
37°C
51%
38°C
19%
39°C
5%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 51%
36°C 23%
38°C 19%
35°C 5%
$14,886 Объем
$14,886 Объем
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C
23%
37°C
51%
38°C
19%
39°C
5%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a high of 35–36°C for Wuhan on August 28 under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 3–5 m/s, following the end of the prolonged sanfu heat period.** Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear conditions continue to support strong daytime heating, though a gradual cooling trend is evident with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers expected from August 29 onward. Recent observations show today’s peak near 37°C, and ensemble forecasts reflect modest uncertainty around the precise maximum due to local urban heat island effects and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture. Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on 37°C (50.5%), consistent with historical late-August maxima in the region and the risk that models under-forecast peak temperatures during high-pressure dominance. Updated model runs and the final 8:00 a.m. local briefing from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory represent the next key data points that could shift positioning before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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