Trader consensus favoring 31–32°C for Beijing’s August 29 peak reflects ensemble model spread in local thermodynamic conditions, with 31°C edging ahead on slightly higher probabilities of modest cloud cover and reduced solar heating. Subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and afternoon humidity levels differentiate the two leading outcomes, while the absence of strong synoptic forcing keeps the distribution tightly clustered around 30–33°C. China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs show limited divergence on timing of any diurnal maximum, and historical late-August baselines near 30°C underscore that small forecast adjustments in wind or insolation can still shift the final reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 29 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 29 августа?
31°C 32%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
33°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
32%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
33°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$115 Объем
<1%
26°C
$299 Объем
<1%
27°C
$105 Объем
2%
28°C
$60 Объем
4%
29°C
$281 Объем
8%
30°C
$637 Объем
18%
31°C
$316 Объем
32%
32°C
$109 Объем
25%
33°C
$19 Объем
12%
34°C
$16 Объем
3%
35°C or higher
$65 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring 31–32°C for Beijing’s August 29 peak reflects ensemble model spread in local thermodynamic conditions, with 31°C edging ahead on slightly higher probabilities of modest cloud cover and reduced solar heating. Subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and afternoon humidity levels differentiate the two leading outcomes, while the absence of strong synoptic forcing keeps the distribution tightly clustered around 30–33°C. China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs show limited divergence on timing of any diurnal maximum, and historical late-August baselines near 30°C underscore that small forecast adjustments in wind or insolation can still shift the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$2,023Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring 31–32°C for Beijing’s August 29 peak reflects ensemble model spread in local thermodynamic conditions, with 31°C edging ahead on slightly higher probabilities of modest cloud cover and reduced solar heating. Subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and afternoon humidity levels differentiate the two leading outcomes, while the absence of strong synoptic forcing keeps the distribution tightly clustered around 30–33°C. China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs show limited divergence on timing of any diurnal maximum, and historical late-August baselines near 30°C underscore that small forecast adjustments in wind or insolation can still shift the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,023Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favoring 31–32°C for Beijing’s August 29 peak reflects ensemble model spread in local thermodynamic conditions, with 31°C edging ahead on slightly higher probabilities of modest cloud cover and reduced solar heating. Subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and afternoon humidity levels differentiate the two leading outcomes, while the absence of strong synoptic forcing keeps the distribution tightly clustered around 30–33°C. China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs show limited divergence on timing of any diurnal maximum, and historical late-August baselines near 30°C underscore that small forecast adjustments in wind or insolation can still shift the final reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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