**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, centers on the 74-75°F range (55.5% implied probability), with 65°F or below at 39.5% and 72-73°F at 38.5%.** These reflect aggregated real-money bets on the official NOAA minimum at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX). Hourly observations from the LAX station showed overnight temperatures falling from the upper 70s°F in the evening to a minimum near 74°F (approximately 23.3°C) around dawn before rebounding, consistent with limited radiative cooling under persistent onshore flow and a marine layer that moderated extremes. Recent heat-wave conditions, driven by high pressure and weak onshore winds, kept the low well above the long-term August average of about 65°F while preventing deeper drops below 70°F. Model guidance and National Weather Service forecasts had converged on a low in the low-to-mid 70s, aligning closely with the realized data and elevating the 74-75°F bucket. The secondary 65°F-or-below outcome retains notable probability due to uncertainty around final official revisions or slight station variations, but current observations make colder outcomes less likely. Warmer buckets above 76°F carry negligible odds, underscoring the narrow range shaped by the evening-to-morning temperature profile. Resolution hinges on the finalized preliminary local climatological data (CF6) from the National Weather Service, with any post-publication adjustments typically minimal for this timeframe.