Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 24–25°C in Munich on August 29, reflecting tight consensus around ensemble guidance from European models that show modest warm-air advection under weak high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, overnight cloud cover, and the precise track of a weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, with smaller probabilities attached to 26°C or higher if daytime insolation strengthens more than expected. Official forecasts from agencies such as the German Weather Service carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of 24–48-hour temperature predictions, and any late model run showing shifts in low-level wind direction or humidity could quickly adjust the market-implied odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 29 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 29 августа?
25°C 41%
24°C 33%
26°C 14%
23°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
33%
25°C
41%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 41%
24°C 33%
26°C 14%
23°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$5 Объем
<1%
20°C
$55 Объем
<1%
21°C
$5 Объем
1%
22°C
$55 Объем
4%
23°C
$433 Объем
9%
24°C
$255 Объем
33%
25°C
$447 Объем
41%
26°C
$81 Объем
14%
27°C
$46 Объем
4%
28°C
$123 Объем
1%
29°C or higher
$83 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 24–25°C in Munich on August 29, reflecting tight consensus around ensemble guidance from European models that show modest warm-air advection under weak high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, overnight cloud cover, and the precise track of a weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, with smaller probabilities attached to 26°C or higher if daytime insolation strengthens more than expected. Official forecasts from agencies such as the German Weather Service carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of 24–48-hour temperature predictions, and any late model run showing shifts in low-level wind direction or humidity could quickly adjust the market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,588Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 24–25°C in Munich on August 29, reflecting tight consensus around ensemble guidance from European models that show modest warm-air advection under weak high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, overnight cloud cover, and the precise track of a weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, with smaller probabilities attached to 26°C or higher if daytime insolation strengthens more than expected. Official forecasts from agencies such as the German Weather Service carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of 24–48-hour temperature predictions, and any late model run showing shifts in low-level wind direction or humidity could quickly adjust the market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,588Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 24–25°C in Munich on August 29, reflecting tight consensus around ensemble guidance from European models that show modest warm-air advection under weak high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, overnight cloud cover, and the precise track of a weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, with smaller probabilities attached to 26°C or higher if daytime insolation strengthens more than expected. Official forecasts from agencies such as the German Weather Service carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of 24–48-hour temperature predictions, and any late model run showing shifts in low-level wind direction or humidity could quickly adjust the market-implied odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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