Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime maximum of 27–31°C on August 27 under persistent cloud cover, occasional heavy showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough and active southerly flow. This pattern limits surface heating while maintaining high humidity (75–95%) and moderate southwest winds, keeping the most probable peak near 30–31°C. Model consensus and climatological August baselines support this narrow range, with trader-implied odds clustered on those outcomes reflecting uncertainty over exact timing and intensity of convective cooling versus brief clear intervals. Updated NHC and regional model runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 27 августа?
30°C 35%
31°C 31%
29°C 24%
32°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
24%
30°C
35%
31°C
31%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 35%
31°C 31%
29°C 24%
32°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
24%
30°C
35%
31°C
31%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime maximum of 27–31°C on August 27 under persistent cloud cover, occasional heavy showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough and active southerly flow. This pattern limits surface heating while maintaining high humidity (75–95%) and moderate southwest winds, keeping the most probable peak near 30–31°C. Model consensus and climatological August baselines support this narrow range, with trader-implied odds clustered on those outcomes reflecting uncertainty over exact timing and intensity of convective cooling versus brief clear intervals. Updated NHC and regional model runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы